Category Archives: ANALYSIS

How to have 1000 pips in EURUSD -Strategy

capture-euro-set-up-daily

Calculation which successfully presented and market on chart as
We are on daily chart and by using some possible diversion indicator I have Plotted and figured the next Possible range in EURUSD 

We are having since past few months a Range 1.1701-1.0323 (recent Low ) from where EURUSD sustains and started Impulse to 1.1701 between that range many up and downs we could see as it’s an liquid market but Big Dogs will surely approach to next 1000 pips from now.

Why?
1.We have seen many positive news favoring Dollar and Price moved consequently .Now after such a price action euro  heading to lower which we could call Bottom at 1.0516 .

2.EUR is boosting fundamentals exact figures according me not need to share here as you could see them or Google  it too.

3.USD could hardly or will not be able to generate according to my study in further calendar in president trumps policy formulation or it could take some time as history we could see it takes time to recover after presidential appointment .

  1. Technical I have shown on Charts.

Trade safe and be safe wish you all best luck

DisclaimerThe content in this article comprises personal opinions and ideas and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

Risk Warning: There is a high level of risk involved with trading leveraged products such as forex and CFDs. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose, it is possible that you may lose more than your initial investment. You should not trade unless you fully understand the true extent of your exposure to the risk of loss. When trading, you must always take into consideration your level of experience. If the risks involved seem unclear to you, please seek independent financial advice

Source: How to have 1000 pips in EURUSD -Strategy

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How You could Maximize Pips In UJ in Intraday Read stratagy

In this 30 min chart we can see a good Elliot pattern to trade  and we will see three cases to pips and profit maximization today for Intraday .

The rectangular Portion will act as pivot on 30 min char at price range 113.25-113.55 for USDJPY
Lets see how we could invest in it

I Have shown #3 possibilities as you can see in chart 2 short possibilities and 1 long possibilities

Case 1 Long if USDJPY goes above square price i.e to corrective above 113.52 you could enter long trade for target @114.15 not above I am expecting .

Case 2 Short USDJPY  at completion of correction @114.15 Target from their is 112.50 Stop loss 30 pips from entry

Case 3 Short if price goes below from the time call give below 113.20 you could short Target price will be same as case 1 i. 112.50
Over all pips you could grab with your intelligence is 63+163=+126 and minimum 80 Pips with this strategy
maximum Loss 30 pips.

DisclaimerThe content in this article comprises personal opinions and ideas and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

Risk Warning: There is a high level of risk involved with trading leveraged products such as forex and CFDs. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose, it is possible that you may lose more than your initial investment. You should not trade unless you fully understand the true extent of your exposure to the risk of loss. When trading, you must always take into consideration your level of experience. If the risks involved seem unclear to you, please seek independent financial advice

Source: How You could Maximize Pips In UJ in Intraday Read stratagy

Gold Sets almost $200 up upto 1437 on Daily Chart


Irecently kept gold level at 1277 but now confirming that to upside targeting. See previous post:
GOLD targets 1277 Don’t miss it out

Gold currently trading at 1239 ,the moves gain stronger momentum since Mid December 2016 as Gold moving in channels according to it Gold made recent low on the lower channel thread 1122.63 .The recent announcement from the Fed about USD ‘s boost ,corrected gold.I have seen two corrected waves and 2 impulse as per the chart .Next wave is on going and targeting towards 1437 for the completion of 5th wave .

Stop Loss and Profit target :The positioning trade gives us the level with minimum risk of 1218.25 and target price range would be 1439 as per Fibonacci levels 261.8% where channel and wave 5th completes .

Disclaimer: The content inthis article comprises personal opinions and ideas and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

Risk Warning:

Source: Gold Sets almost $200 up upto 1437 on Daily Chart

TODAY’S SCENARIO -22 FEB 2013

EUR/USD CONDITION -22 FEB 2013

      

    HI ALL FIRST OF ALL WOULD LIKE TO SHOW
PREVIOUS CHART OF 

    ITS A CHART THE CHART FOR THAT CONDITION  PREVIOUSLY WITH FUNDAMENTALS
AND TECHNICAL.
    NOW WOULD LIKE TO  TODAY’S CONDITIONS TARGETS .

FUNDAMENTSLS TIME
US ECONOMY- AS WE SEEN DAY BY DAY THE PEOPLE ANALYST TALKING MYSTERIOUS THINGS REGARDING TO MARKET. BUT WE SELF NEED TO  ANALYSE WHERE THE MARKET WILL GO TOWARD THE NEXT WHATEVER IT MAY B FUNDAMENTALLY AND TECHNICALLY
HERE IS THE POINTS FOR US ECONOMY BELOW.

1)THE RALLY ON FTSE  IN UK MAY B THE REASON FOR US INVESTORS……BEARISH

2)THE COMMENTS OF FISCAL TODAY MAY AFFECT THE VOLATILITY. AND DISTURB OUR TARGETS
   MY VIEWS FISCAL WILL FAVORS EURO RISE ………………BEARISH

3)BUDGETS CUTS WILL BE BEARISH FOR US ECONOMY TOO FOR THE US…..BEARISH.

BESIDES-LONG FUNDAMENTALS VIEWS ARE AS WE KNOW THE US STILL PRINTING MONEYS
 INCREASED LABORS BUT STILL CANT ABLE TO ACHIEVE CONSUMERS CONFIDENCE ,THEY ARE ONLY TRYING TO ACHIEVE COSTUMERS FOR BETTER ECONOMY BUT STILL NOT ABLE TO BUILD PROPERLY…………….BEARISH

UK ECONOMY-AS WE SEEN PREVIOUSLY  WHY EURO NOT RISING THAT’S THE MAIN REASON WHY UK ECONOMY BULLISH IS.

FOLLOWING ARE SOME POINTS TO DISCUSS REGARDING TO UK ECONOMY

1)BORROWING FIGURES ARE THE FIRST WOULD LIKE TO DISCUSS WITH U ALONG WHICH IS 
  …………………………………………….     BULLISH SIGN

2)Although the Government will no doubt say the figures justify its job policies, the ONS has said the UK economy ….NEWS REFERENCE…………………….BULLISH 


3)US INDEX RETRACE TOWARDS CORRECTIONAL WILL BULL THE EURO……..BULLISH SIGN..

BESIDES UK ONLY WAITING FOR THE GREEN POLICIES ….TO BOOST U MORE AN BREAK EVEN UPSIDE ……………………..

UK job market: better a coffee cup half full than half empty…………BULLISH




TECHNICAL TIMES

                                                                                                            
                                                                                                          editor-DIPAK PATIL
THANKS FOR THE VISIT…………………………………………………………………..22 FEB 2013. var vglnk = { key: ’75fbef52203f23d53b02ce5cf8c8bea6′ }; (function(d, t) { var s = d.createElement(t); s.type = ‘text/javascript’; s.async = true; s.src = ‘//cdn.viglink.com/api/vglnk.js’; var r = d.getElementsByTagName(t)[0]; r.parentNode.insertBefore(s, r); }(document, ‘script’));

EUR/USD CONDITION -21 FEB 2013

EUR/USD CONDITION -21 FEB 2013

                          Hi all as we see our previous post about WHY EURO NOT RISING so now time towards next conditions as we seen the economic events of the market on 23rd Feb the market took favored in the us economy more rise of us index towards fifth wave extension.

                             But what today..we can see the economic events are very god and favoring uk economy..so intraday buyers will try to buy but we also can see that us economy had strongly indicate to rose so by short covering upside it will fall again.as er the charts shown above.

by-DIPAK PATIL

COT TRADER

FOREX GUIDES OF COMMITMENT OF TRADERS REPORT (COT TRADER)
1.  The forex market is actually very complex & probably the most difficult.  However, once you start to understand what drives this market – all becomes clearer.
2.  Before looking at pairs – always try to identify whether an individual is strong or weak in your time frame of choice.  So, for example if you trade the 5 min chart & are looking for trades in the eurusd – have a workspace with the chart of the eurusd, eurjpy, eurgbp, euraud, eurchf & eurcad.  You can also do the same for other currencies – but ones to have are Yen crosses & British Pound.
3.  it helps to have a currency strength/weakness indicator
4.  Everything in trading is about the price action :  price moves in a very cyclical way across all time frames and it is possible to identify these movements from the candles (or bars) on the charts.  If you use candlesticks there are some very distinct candle combinations which have a high probability of confirming a turn in price.  For example, the shooting star (at the top of a trend) or a hammer (at the bottom of a trend.  But there are many others as well.
5.  Indicators :  these are there to confirm and validate price.  Most are lagging but used in the correct way, together with price action will give you some indication of where the price is going next.
6.  Support & resistance :  extremely important & not just in the time frame you are looking to trade.
7.  Multiple time frames :  to be used to help you reduce the risk of any trade you take – in other words increase your probability of success.  You should be looking at min 2 time frames (3 is better).  So, if you trade the 5 min chart, you should have the 1 min for early signal, 5 min to take the trade & 30 min for directional bias. This shows whether you are taking a trade with the overall trend or against it.  Both is fine but taking a trade against the trend in a higher time frame attracts more risk.
8.  Cot report :  here is some info from my new book:
For forex traders the report you should focus on is the CME Long Format  (see image) & focus on the non commercials who are the large speculators.  The key number is the difference between shorts & longs for bias.
At the moment net longs of euro are highest since July 2011 – ie number of contracts have increased dramatically since previous report.  However, this could be specs simply short covering to hedge their positions in spot market.
Whatever the reason the COT comes into its own at extremes.
With regard to interpretation – it can vary depending on what you are trading.  Book by Larry Williams is good :  http://www.amazon.ca/Trade-Stocks-Commodities-Insiders-Secrets/dp/0471741256/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1256789904&sr=8-1 then there is Floyd Upperman & Steve Briese.

Please bear in mind COT data is very delayed & as mentioned previously is only interesting once numbers reach an extreme.

why professional and new traders lose money on the forex market. Instead of learning from failure, learn how to avoid it.

This article looks at the most common reasons why professional and new traders lose money on the forex market. Instead of learning from failure, learn how to avoid it.
1. Knowledge Deficiency � Most new forex traders do not take the time to learn what drives currency rates (primarily fundamentals). When some news or a statement is due out, they close out their positions and sit out the best trading opportunities; they are taught to only trade after the market calms down. So essentially they miss the whole move and then trade the random noise that follows a fundamental price move. Just think for a moment about technically trading the aftermath of a price move; there is no potential.
2. Overtrading – Trading often with tight stops and tiny profit targets will only make the broker rich. The desire to �just� make a few hundred dollars a day by locking in tiny profits whenever possible is a losing strategy.
3. Over leveraged – Leverage is a two way street. The brokers want you to use high leverage because that means more spread income because your position size determines the amount of spread income; the bigger the position, the more spread income the broker earns.
4. Relying on Others � Real traders play a lone hand; they make their own decisions and don�t rely on others to make their trading decisions for them; there is no halfway; either trade for yourself or have someone else trade for you. 5. Stop Losses � Putting tight stop losses with retail brokers is a recipe for disaster. When you put on a trade, commit to a reasonable stop loss limit that allows your trade a fair chance to develop.
6. Demo Accounts � Broker demo accounts are a shill game of sorts; they�re not as time sensitive as real accounts and therefore give the impression that time-sensitive trading systems, such as short-term moving average crossovers, can be a consistently profitable trade; once you start dealing with real money, reality is quick to set in.
7. Trading During Off Hours � Bank FX traders, option traders, and hedge funds have a huge advantage during off hours; they can push the currencies around when no volume is going through and the end game is new traders get fleeced trying to trade signals. There is only one signal during off hours � it is better to stay out.
8. Trading a Currency, Not a Pair � Being right about a currency is half a trade; success or failure depends upon being right about the second currency that makes up the pair.
9. No Trading Plan – “Make money” is not a trading plan. A trading plan is a blueprint for trading success; it spells out what you see your edge as being; if you don�t have an edge, you don�t have a plan, and likely you�ll wind up a statistic (part of the 95% of new traders that lose and quit).
10. Trading Against Prevailing Trend � There is a huge difference between buying cheaply on the way down and buying cheaply. What was a low price quickly becomes a high price when you�re trading against the trend.
11. Exiting Trades Poorly � If you put on a trade and it�s not working make sure you exit properly; don�t compound the damage. If you�re in a winning trade don�t talk yourself out of the position because you�re bored or want to relieve stress; stress is a natural part of trading, get used to it.
12. Trading Too Short-term � If you�re profit target is less than 20 points, don’t do the trade; the spread you pay to enter the trade makes the odds way against you when you go for these tiny profits.
13. Picking Tops and Bottoms – Looking for bargains works well at the supermarket but not trading foreign exchange; try to trade in the direction the price is going and your results will improve.
14. Being Too Smart � The most successful traders I know are high school graduates. They keep it simple and don�t look beyond the obvious; their results are excellent.
15. Not Trading Around News Time � Most of the big moves occur around news time. The volume is high and the moves are real; there is no better time to trade fundamentally or technically than when news is released; this is when the real money adjusts their positions and as a result the prices changes reflect serious currency flow (compared to quiet times when bank traders rule the market with their customer order flow).
16. Ignore Technical Conditions � Determining whether the market is over-extended long or over-extended short is a key determinant of near-time price action. Spike moves often occur when the market is all one way.
17. Emotional Trading � When you don’t pre-plan your trades, it is essentially a thought and not an idea; thoughts are emotions and a very poor basis for doing trades. Do people generally say intelligent things when they are upset and emotional? I don�t think so.
18. Lack of Confidence � Confidence only comes from successful trading. If you lose money early in your trading career it�s very difficult to gain true confidence; the trick is don’t go off half-cocked; learn the business before you trade.
19. Lack of Courage to Take a Loss � There is nothing macho or gutsy about riding a loss, just stupidity and cowardice. It takes guts to accept your loss and wait for tomorrow to try again. Getting married to a bad position ruins lots of traders. The thing to remember is the market does crazy things often so don�t get married to any one trade; it�s just a trade. One good trade will not make you a trading success; rather, it is the monthly and annual performance that defines a good trader.
20. Not Focusing on the Trade at Hand � There is no room for fantasizing in successful trading. Counting up and mentally spending profits you haven�t made yet is mental masturbation and does you no good. Same with worrying about a loss that hasn’t happened yet. Focus on your position and have a reasonable stop loss in place at the time you do the trade. Then be like an astronaut � sit back and enjoy the ride, there is no sense worrying because you have no real control; the market will do what it wants to do.
21. Interpreting forex news incorrectly � Fact is the press only has a very superficial understanding of the news they are reporting and tend to focus on one element and miss the point. Learn to read the source documents and understand it for real.
22. Lucky or Good � Your account balance changes don�t tell you the whole story about your trading; fact is, if you are taking a lot of risk and making money you will eventually crash and burn. Look at the individual trade details; focus on your big losses and losing streaks. Ask yourself this – if I had a couple of consecutive losing streaks or a couple of consecutive big losses, how would my account balance look. Generally, traders making money without big daily losses have the best chance of sustaining positive performance. The others are accidents waiting to happen.
23. Too Many Charity Trades � When you make money on a well thought-out trade, don�t give back half on a whim; invest your profits from good trades on the next good trade.
24. Courage Under Fire � When a policeman breaks down the door to a drug dealers apartment, he is scared but he does it anyway. When a fireman climbs onto the roof of a burning building, he is scared but does it anyway – and gets the job done. Its the same with trading – it�s OK to be scared, but you have to pull the trigger; no trigger = no trades = no profits = no trader.
25. Quality Trading Time � I suggest 3 hours a day of quality, focused trading time; that�s about all your brain allows. When you are trading, you must be 100% focused – half way is plain bullshit and does not work. Don�t even think that time spent in front of the computer watching the rates has any correlation with profitability; it doesn�t. Spend less time but when you are trading, be 100% focused.
26. Rationalizing � Killer. Absolute Killer. Put your trade on and let it run. If it hits your reasonable pre-determined stop, you’re out. Moving your stop is like getting up after being crushed with a knockout blow; it�s pointless, things will only get worse. Don�t ignore the obvious – you are wrong, so get out. Come back the next day and try again. A small loss will not hurt you, but a catastrophic loss will.
27. Mixing Apples and Oranges � Have you ever done this: you see the EUR/USD trading higher, so you buy GBP/USD because it �hasn�t moved yet�. That’s a mistake. Most of the time the reason the GBP/USD hasn�t moved yet is because its already overbought or some 4:30am UK news was bearish. Don�t mix apples and oranges; if EUR/USD looks good, buy EUR/USD.
28. Avoiding the Hard Trades � Bank FX traders have an axiom: the harder the trade is to do, the better the trade. This I learned from experience – when I needed to buy EUR/USD and it was hard to get them, that�s when it is necessary to pay up and get the business done. When it�s easy to get them, then sit back and wait for better levels. So if you’re trying to get into a trade or more importantly get out of a trade, don�t putz around for a few points; get your business done.
29. Too Much Detail � If you are trading more than 2 indicators, then you need to clean house. Having many indicators stifles trading and finds reasons not to trade. A setup and a trigger is all you need.
30. Giving Up Too Easy � Your first trade of the day may not be your best but certainly it�s no reason to quit. I have a preset daily trading limit and I use it; you can�t make money by making excuses. Getting trades wrong is natural and should be expected.
31. Jumping the Gun � Don�t be penny wise and dollar foolish; wait for your trade signal to be clear. Put on your trade and give it a decent size stop loss so that you don�t get knocked out by random noise. Do trades and don�t buy lottery tickets (extremely tight stops).
32. Afraid to Take a Loss – Trading is not personal; it�s business. Don�t think that a poor trade is a reflection on you. It could be you are just ahead of your time or a commercial order hits the market and temporarily creates a small unexpected move. Again, place your stop beforehand and NEVER increase your pre-determined risk. If it�s going bad, it will probably get worse; I think that�s Einstein �in motion stays in motion��
33. Over-Relying on Risk Reward � There is zero advantage in risk reward; if you put a 20 point stop and a 60 point profit your chances are probably 3-1 that you will lose; actually with the spread its more like 4 to 1 (from entry point if it goes down 17 points you lose or up 63 you win; 17/63 is close to 4-1).
34. Trading for Wrong Reasons � Because the EUR/USD is going up is not in itself a reason to buy. Buying EUR/USD because its not moving is even worse; you�re paying the toll (spread) without even a hint that you will get a directional move. If you are bored, don�t trade – the reason you are bored is there is no trade to do in the first place.
35. Rumors � Rumors are rumors almost 100% of the time; think about where in the motion you heard the rumor. If EUR/USD is up 50 points in last 15 minutes and the rumor is dollar negative, well then you missed it. Whenever you trade, determine where in the motion you are entering.
36. Trading Short-term Moving Average Crossovers � This is the money sucker of the century. When the shorter term moving average cross the longer term moving average it only means that the average price in the short run is equal to the average price in the longer run. For the life of me I cannot understand why this is bullish or bearish. Easy to set up on software, complete with lights, bells and whistles, and good for the seller getting thousands for the software but in terms of creating profit, it�s a zero.
37. Stochastic � Another money sucker. Personally I think this indicator is used backwards; when it first signals an overdone condition, that�s when I think the big spike in the �overdone� currency pair occurs. To be overbought means strong and oversold means weak. Try buying on the first sign of overbought and selling on the first sign of oversold; you�ll be with the trend and likely have identified a move with plenty of juice left. So if %k and %d are both crossing 80, buy! (Same on sell side; sell at 20)
38. Wrong Broker � A lot of forex brokers are horrible; get a good one. Read forums and chats in several different places to get an unbiased opinion.
39. Simulated Results � Watch out for �black box� systems; these are trading systems that don�t divulge how the trade signals are generated. A great majority of them are absolute garbage. They show you a track record of extraordinary results, but think about it – if you could build a trading system with half a dozen filters using the benefit of hindsight, couldn�t you too come up with a great system. Of course going forward is an entirely different story. High-speed number crunching capabilities allows for building great hindsight trading systems; BEWARE.
40. Inconsistency � Every business (forex trading included) requires a business plan (trading plan). Unless you have taken the time to write down a set of rules that you can and will follow, it�s likely your trading will remain unfocused and directionless. Make a plan, have rules, follow them, set goals that are realistic, and you will achieve them.
41. Master of None � Focus on one currency for technical trading. Each currency has a unique way of trading and unless you get intimate with it, you will never truly understand its underlying idiosyncrasies. Don�t spread yourself too thin. Focus � master one currency at a time.
42. Thinking Long Term � Don�t do it. Stay in the moment. Especially if you�re a day trader. It doesn�t matter what happens next week or next month, if you are trading with 30 to 50 point stops restrict your thought process to what�s happening right now. That is not to stay the long-term trend is not important; it is to say the long-term trend will not always help you when you are trading in a significantly shorter time frame.
43. Overconfidence � Trading is not easy; statistics show a 95% failure rate. If your doing well don�t take your success for granted; always be on the lookout for ways to improve what you�re doing.
44. Getting Pumped Up � The trick is to maintain an even keel. When you are in a trade, you want to think exactly as you would if you didn�t have a trade on. To do this requires a relaxed disposition; this is not a football game. Don�t get psyched up, relax and try to enjoy it.
45. Staying in the Game � I don�t recommend demo trading because traders learn bad habits when trading with play money. I also don�t think �letting it all hang out� right away is wise either. Start off doing trades and taking risk that is relatively small but still makes a difference to you if you win or lose. About a quarter to a third of what you expect to reach as your trading matures is reasonable.

FOREX HELP LINE NOTICE FOR FX SCORDIPS

 FOREX HELP LINE NOTICE FOR FX SCORDIPS

hi all,
      due to my college i am unable to update this blog sorry for this ,,,,will continue in next holidays and if you having any problem in the ttrading then you may contacy on my email or contact me by email mee—

contact no -+919028682059 / +917053386926
email -dipak.zagade8@gmail.com